Geopol Report
The “Golden Dome”, Chinese exclusion, and mining rights: An overview of the current state of the Greenland crisis

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European Research Desk

Our European Research team tracks political, security, economic, and social developments across Europe. Understanding its dynamics is essential for assessing broader geopolitical trends and security implications. It focuses on EU policy, NATO dynamics, transatlantic relations, energy security and regional conflicts, and analyses the impact of elections, populism, nationalism, migration and regulatory trends. Recent reports include Ukrainian drone co-production, Serbia’s student protests, Poland’s post-election foreign policy and Europe’s pivot away from the US.

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Latest Europe geopolitics reports

The Euro-Mediterranean Network

Europe

6 November 2026

The Euro-Mediterranean Network

In 2006, then-EU Commissioner for Enlargement Olli Rehn stated that, “It is obviously better to export our stability than to import instability. This is our task for the future.” That was three years into the Iraq war; four years later, the Arab Spring turned a range of Middle Eastern and North African nations upside down, whereas millions of refugees made their way northwards towards Europe by the mid-2010s. The subsequent rises in political outrage over immigration have wreaked havoc across the continent, as well as the recent disputes over Israeli and American foreign policy in the Middle East.

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Ceuta and Melilla Migrants Crisis: What lay behind them and what has been the impact on the Spanish government and EU?

Europe

19 October 2026

Ceuta and Melilla Migrants Crisis: What lay behind them and what has been the impact on the Spanish government and EU?

In recent years Spain has faced several border incidents from migrants originating in Morocco affecting the cities of Ceuta and Melilla. The most recent on 30-31st July 2026 involved an estimated 80,000 people crossing from Morocco into Ceuta and Melilla. This event’s importance is marked by Spain’s role as a major arrival point into Europe from Morocco and other parts of Africa, as people seek economic opportunities or escape violence and instability.

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Ukrainian Drone Co-Production in Europe

Europe

28 July 2026

Ukrainian Drone Co-Production in Europe

Europe hosts and funds Ukrainian drone production and buys almost nothing from it. The distance between those two facts defines what European states have actually acquired, and the policy conversation about co-production tends to step over it. The framework is Build with Ukraine, launched in mid-2025.

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The Kurdish Question: Spanish-Turkish Relations and the Post-Assad Turning Point

Europe

9 March 2026

The Kurdish Question: Spanish-Turkish Relations and the Post-Assad Turning Point

Spain and Türkiye, a somewhat understudied pairing within international politics, have benefitted from strong diplomatic ties and bilateralism since the former’s backing of the EU-Türkiye Customs union in 1995.

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The “Golden Dome”, Chinese exclusion, and mining rights: An overview of the current state of the Greenland crisis

Europe

6 February 2026

The “Golden Dome”, Chinese exclusion, and mining rights: An overview of the current state of the Greenland crisis

With Trump’s Davos statement on the 21st of January defusing previous threats to take Greenland by force, shortly followed by the announcement of a “NATO-framework” to address US security concerns in the Arctic, the...

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Europe’s Pivot Away from the US?

Europe

4 February 2026

Europe’s Pivot Away from the US?

After the episode of the US trying to acquire Greenland, Europe has a clearer view of its dependence on the United States, and of Washington’s willingness to weaponise that dependence through tariffs and threats against EU sovereignty. In terms of economic coercion, the US’ tariffs on those backing Greenland’s autonomy were significant, 10% tariffs on goods from Denmark, Germany, France, and others, escalating to 25% by June 2026.

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Serbia at a Turning Point: Student Protests and the Crisis of the Status Quo

Europe

18 December 2025

Serbia at a Turning Point: Student Protests and the Crisis of the Status Quo

The collapse of the Novi Sad railway station canopy on 1 November 2024, which killed sixteen people, ignited a wave of student protests amid widespread suspicions of corruption linked to the station’s refurbishment.

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Rosatom’s Nuclear Diplomacy and Europe’s Strategic Lag

Europe

26 July 2025

Rosatom’s Nuclear Diplomacy and Europe’s Strategic Lag

As of mid-2025, Russia leads the global market for nuclear power exports, with 26 of the 59 reactors under construction worldwide being Russian builds – 20 of them located abroad. Rosatom, Russia’s state nuclear corporation, claims it controls approximately 70% of the global export market for reactor development and installation. While this figure is difficult to verify, the scale of its involvement in the market is undeniable. More than a supplier, Rosatom has become a strategic architect of civil nuclear development, particularly across the Global South.

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Should EU Countries Start Establishing Their Own Space Forces?

Europe

14 July 2025

Should EU Countries Start Establishing Their Own Space Forces?

As history has shown, each time humanity ventures into a new domain, warfare inevitably follows. Some of the most pivotal events in modern history have unfolded across the traditional domains of warfare: on land (Battle of the Somme 1916), in the air (the Battle of Britain 1940), and at sea (the Falklands War 1982). However, the dawn of the 21st century has introduced two new arenas, cyberspace and outer space, which bring unprecedented challenges and an uncertain future for the art of war.

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