Reports and analysis from analysts embedded across the regions, covering security, politics and risk across Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America and Asia.
Research desks
Europe
6 November 2026
The Euro-Mediterranean Network
In 2006, then-EU Commissioner for Enlargement Olli Rehn stated that, “It is obviously better to export our stability than to import instability. This is our task for the future.” That was three years into the Iraq war; four years later, the Arab Spring turned a range of Middle Eastern and North African nations upside down, whereas millions of refugees made their way northwards towards Europe by the mid-2010s. The subsequent rises in political outrage over immigration have wreaked havoc across the continent, as well as the recent disputes over Israeli and American foreign policy in the Middle East.
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Europe
19 October 2026
In recent years Spain has faced several border incidents from migrants originating in Morocco affecting the cities of Ceuta and Melilla. The most recent on 30-31st July 2026 involved an estimated 80,000 people crossing from Morocco into Ceuta and Melilla. This event’s importance is marked by Spain’s role as a major arrival point into Europe from Morocco and other parts of Africa, as people seek economic opportunities or escape violence and instability.
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Middle East & North Africa
3 September 2026
A Security Pact Built on More Than Defence
On 7 August 2026, Türkiye, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia signed the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement to “strengthen collective deterrence against any act of aggression”. In its official text, it covers joint military exercises, intelligence sharing, training and technology transfers. The agreement is explicitly defensive, does not replace existing security arrangements and is not directed against any particular actor or threat. It brings together oil-rich G20 member Saudi Arabia, the Muslim world's only nuclear-armed state, Pakistan, and Türkiye, which has NATO's second-largest military.
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Middle East & North Africa
18 August 2026
Syria's post-conflict transition offers an opportunity to support long-term economic recovery through the reconstruction of regional transportation and energy infrastructure. Before the civil war, Syria served as a key transit corridor linking Iraq, Türkiye, and the Eastern Mediterranean, supporting regional trade and energy exports.
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Europe
28 July 2026
Ukrainian Drone Co-Production in Europe
Europe hosts and funds Ukrainian drone production and buys almost nothing from it. The distance between those two facts defines what European states have actually acquired, and the policy conversation about co-production tends to step over it. The framework is Build with Ukraine, launched in mid-2025.
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12 June 2026
Could the AI Race be a Geoeconomic Trap?
Prior to the Choose France summit held at the Palace of Versailles last week, SoftBank's Masayoshi Son announced a €75 billion investment package to build AI data centres across Northern France. With the first deal of its kind for SoftBank in Europe, the headlines were predictably rapturous: Son’s backing of the $500 billion Stargate AI campus in the United States, built alongside Sam Altman's OpenAI and Larry Ellison's Oracle, has cemented the Japanese institution as one of the largest financiers of global AI infrastructure spending.
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Middle East & North Africa
6 May 2026
How Iran Changed Modern Warfare
The Iran-US conflict revealed that Iran has become one of the most consequential sharpers of modern warfare. Far from relying on conventional military strength, Tehran reshaped the battlefield through decentralised command structures, mass-produced drones and missiles, cost-imposition strategies, and other asymmetric tactics designed to offset and overwhelm technologically superior adversaries. Its ability to strike U.S.
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Africa
18 April 2026
Somalia’s security transition has entered a critical and uncertain phase. The African Union Transition Mission in Somalia (ATMIS) formally ended and was replaced by the African Union Support and Stabilization Mission in Somalia (AUSSOM) on 1 January 2025 under UN Security Council Resolution 2767.
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North America
6 April 2026
An Irrational Actor on the International Stage: the United States of America
Since the beginning of Donald Trump’s second term, Washington has taken measures internationally which reflect its domestic policymaking—to defy legality and norms in order to pursue its own ends. Manifesting on the international stage as heightened military aggression, this has resulted in the invasions of Venezuela and Iran. Whilst conflict in Venezuela compelled the intended desire, de facto control of Venezuelan oil, the U.S. has directly caused an increasingly protracted war with Iran that has had severe implications for the rest of the world.
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